Wal-Mart’s item-level apparel tagging campaign will drive global adoption

July 28th, 2010

For anyone that missed RFID 24-7 on Tuesday, we’ve posted our Wal-Mart story here…

It’s not often that RFID ends up on the front page of the Wall Street Journal. But it’s not often that the world’s largest retailer goes public with its technology plans either. Wal-Mart used to be quoted widely about its plans for RFID in the supply chain. Then a light bulb went off; the retailer realized that RFID is far more valuable at the store level, and on specific items.

And while Friday’s article in the Journal wasn’t exactly breaking news, it did cement the fact that Wal-Mart is pursuing item-level tagging for certain lines of men’s jeans and underwear. Industry experts predict that Wal-Mart will consume 30 million tags over the next 12 months just on those lines. If the launch is expanded, and it likely will when Wal-Mart sees the proper business value, the retailer’s use of RFID could explode and catapult item-level tagging to global acceptance. Down the road, it’s entirely possible that Wal-Mart could use hundreds of millions of tags while not even approaching a full apparel rollout.

“This is the beginning of the whole retail item-level tracking thing in the big world,” says Drew Nathanson, senior RFID analyst and director of research operations at VDC Research Group, Inc., who says that retailers will use more than 800 million RFID tags in 2011.

“We’ve seen some of these other applications with retailers but this shows it’s not only sparse deployments. You have the number one retailer in the world saying that this is the way we’re going to get more profit and more efficiency.”

Item-level tagging for apparel has been a sweet spot for the retail industry for years, although projects have been limited in scope, with many small pilots. There have been some exceptions, such as American Apparel’s well-documented item-level program, some very successful footwear programs in Europe, and, more recently, the Gerry Weber chain. The company will be the first German retail company to roll out RFID technology combining inventory management and loss prevention. Gerry Weber will rely on an Avery Dennison supplied RFID solution in more than 25 million garments a year through an RFID chip imbedded in a care label. This solution will optimize Gerry Weber logistics and retail processes, reduce theft and ensure stores are well stocked with popular items.

American Apparel operates about 300 stores. That’s a significant rollout, but considering that Wal-Mart operates well over 300 retail outlets in Texas alone, it’s understandable how this deployment could scale significantly.

“If Wal-Mart moves forward with this by rolling it out to all stores it would dwarf all other initiatives to date,” says Bill Hardgrave, founder and director of the RFID Research Center at the University of Arkansas. “It’s just another indication that we are moving down the item-level path very quickly. The fact that retailers are embracing RFID is nothing new. The fact that Wal-Mart it out there talking about its current plans is what caught everyone’s attention. It’s been a while since they’ve talked about this.”

The ramifications of Wal-Mart pushing item level tagging go well beyond the apparel sector and retailing. For starters, Wal-Mart has great clout with its suppliers, and this initiative will cause tagging to be pushed down the value chain quickly, resulting in more tagging at the source of manufacture. Additionally, the move will force competitors like Target to enter the game quickly. Target has remained very quite about RFID, but it’s believed the company has learned from others and could be ready to dive into the technology soon.

“Any time that [Wal-Mart] does something, everyone wants to understand what it is, why, and what kinds of benefits are being gained,” says Rose Depoe, global director of RFID strategic solutions and alliances for Avery Dennison Retail Information Services. “In general, in retail the quickest categories to adopt are those that are most complex in terms of SKU management. So in apparel, when we talk about the Wal-Mart announcement being for jeans and underwear, nearly all of them start with areas that are the most complex to manage. This is true for the 20 or 30 projects we’re involved in now.”

Such a big push by the retail sector could drive prices down further, opening up other opportunities in other industries. The pharmaceutical sector, which has seen stop-and-go item-level tagging, could  expand tagging initiatives if pricing drops further.

Last month RFID 24-7 published VDC Research’s predictions for the retail segment that includes a prediction for more than 10.5 billion tags sold by 2014, of which 3.4 billion will be used in retail, including item-level tags, as well as tags used for smart courtesy cards and access control.

“This all kind of goes along with that retail forecast that we’ve discussed where you see a huge number going up because they will be doing it continuously not only by store, but by additional product lines,” says Nathanson. “If [Wal-Mart] get the benefit they are expecting from it, you’ll see this [expand] fairly quickly.”

RFID market worth $5.63B this year; apparel retailers lead the way in tagging efforts

July 13th, 2010

IDTechEx author Raghu Das claims the value of the entire RFID market will be $5.63 billion this year, up from $5.03 billion in 2009. This includes tags, readers and software/services for RFID cards, labels, fobs and all other form factors.

Das says that just over 2.3 billion tags will be sold this year, up from 1.98 billion in 2009. The new IDTechEx report says most of the growth in the industry is do to the use of passive UHF tags, the biggest category for which is asset tracking in many closed loop systems. Apparel tagging also continues its impressive growth. Das claims that UK retailer Marks & Spencer will consume almost 200 million UHF tags alone this year for its item-level tagging program.

In total, IDTechEx says that 550 million passive UHF tags were sold in 2009, a number that will rise to at least 800 million in 2010. IDTechEx also states that this year, two passive UHF tag suppliers have increased their prices for the first time in many years and they are installing extra capacity.

Click here to read the full report.

Retailers drive item-level tagging; tag sales could top 10.5B units by 2014

July 12th, 2010

For anyone that missed last week’s issue, here is our lead story on item-level tagging.

07/05/10 | John R. Johnson | email john@rfid24-7.com

As the benefits of RFID technology continue to expand, users of RFID have become more excited about the technology than RFID vendors themselves. That speaks volumes for the technology as it gains traction not only for single projects, but also for enterprise-wide applications.

Nowhere is the growth or potential bigger than at the retail sector, where the use of RFID is exploding, especially at the item level. The apparel sector has been the big mover, adopting item-level tagging throughout the entire supply chain to improve visibility, increase revenues and provide a more dynamic customer experience.

“There are a lot of neat things going on in cold chain and agriculture, but apparel item-level tagging is driving the industry,” says Bill Hardgrave, founder and director of the RFID Research Center at the University of Arkansas. “There is just tremendous movement there and we’ll see substantial quantities by year end.”

Drew Nathanson, senior RFID analyst and director of research operations at VDC Research Group, Inc., says more than 400 million tags will be consumed by retail in 2010, a number that jumps to 800 million in 2011.

Nathanson says the total market for RFID transponders in 2010 will total 3.5 billion, an increase of more than 33 percent over 2009. He projects that number will exceed 10.5 billion units by 2014, or which 3.4 billion will be used in retail, including item-level tags, as well as tags used for smart courtesy cards and access control.

According to VDC, passive HF and EPC UHF solutions in the retail, CPG, government and transportation sectors will account for more than 80 percent of tag usage by 2014. Supply chain management, inventory control and asset tracking will be the primary applications for EPC UHF tags.

“Projects are scaling, conversion times from pilot/evaluation to deployment are decreasing and adoption among new accounts is increasing,” says Nathanson. “Budgets are way up, significant purchase orders for delivery throughout 2011 are being placed, and RFID is becoming more deeply integrated. Simply stated, the end user is more committed to RFID than ever before.

“The demand for RFID transponders, transponder ICs and inlays is so high that it might exceed near-term capacity and create significant backlogs. For the first time since we’ve been covering the RFID industry, the end user is more optimistic than the supplier.”

Retail applications in the apparel sector are gaining the most exposure, led by the highly-publicized rollout of RFID throughout the entire supply chain at Swiss-based apparel retailer Charles Vögele. The retailer, which operates 851 stores and has revenues of $1.3 billion, has implemented a source-to-store solution across its entire supply chain, from point of manufacture to point of sale, using standard EPC Gen 2 labels. It is the first standards-based solution to RFID-enable a retailer’s entire supply chain.

The solution, provided by Checkpoint Systems, enables retailers to streamline their supply chains by applying smart tags to apparel merchandise at the point of manufacture, and reading the tags throughout the logistics operations and into the store. Once at the store, retailers can improve operations and increase shelf availability by tracking item-level merchandise throughout the facility into the back room, on the selling floor, in fitting rooms, and at point of sale. This visibility enables retailers to optimize their inventory replenishment, reducing out-of-stocks and on-hand inventory, while improving sales.

That’s crucial for Charles Vögele, which sources more than 70 million garments annually from more than 400 suppliers, numbers that represent a logistical challenge for the retailer.

“Our adoption of RFID has transformed and improved our operations from source to store. We have begun streamlining our operations and supporting our sales in ways that simply were not possible before; in many ways this marks the beginning of a retail revolution,” Thomas Beckmann, VP of supply chain, Charles Vögele Group, said in a release.

Hardgrave says retailers like Wal-Mart, Charles Vögele, and JC Penney are just the tip of the iceberg. “We’ll see big numbers by the end of year,” he says. “It seems like almost every week that we’re talking to another retailer moving down that path, and those numbers are starting to add up. We’ve moved past those phase one pilots and really now into the next phase, which is rolling out chain-wide or a store at a time and the numbers are increasing. On the passive UHF side, we’ll see numbers by the end of the year that we’ve never seen before.”

Other developments are occurring quickly in the apparel sector. RFID suppliers, for example, report that retailers are inquiring about single tags that would take the place of a price tag, the EAS security tag, and the garment size/information label attached to the product. The major stumbling block to moving to a single tag is the fact that consumers are so accustomed to seeing a price tag hanging from each individual garment.

However, that obstacle could be less of a problem as consumers grow more used to wireless apps on their cell phones. In the future, pricing information from a single all-encompassing tag could be relayed to a cell phone, instead of being displayed on a label. The customer could also do comparison shopping on the spot.

In addition, vendors continue down the path to integrating the security feature of EAS and the larger benefits of RFID into a single tag. Nathanson predicts that a universal tag that will include additional functionality and elements that are core to the retail floor is still three to five years away.

RFID Research Center shifts focus

July 7th, 2010

Since the RFID Research Center’s inception in 2005, its primary focus has been research at the retail and store front level. However, given the Center’s strong knowledge base of RFID operations at the store level, and the influx of RFID into total supply chain operations, the RFID Research Center at the University of Arkansas is shifting its focus to include the entire supply chain, from sourcing to the store shelf.

“We have a good handle on what’s happening at the store level and now we need to understand the entire supply chain,” says Bill Hardgrave, founder and director of the RFID Research Center at the University of Arkansas. “In 2010, we’re working on getting supplier inventory from source all the way through to the store so we understand that business model. There are a lot of neat things going on in cold chain and agriculture, but thus far apparel item level tagging is driving this industry.”

Follow RFID 24-7 on Facebook!

June 30th, 2010

Make sure you keep up with all the industry news by following RFID 24-7 on Facebook.

http://www.facebook.com/pages/RFID-24-7/166256283551?ref=ts

RFID in retail; do you believe?

June 29th, 2010

VDC Research analyst Drew Nathanson certain does. Check out the comments below from this week’s blog about RFID and the retail sector. It appears the time has come for RFID, with transponder volumes in retail exceeding 2 billion units by 2014.

From Drew’s blog:

“Back in the early days of RFID, in particular the beginnings of the EPC market, it was easy for the RFID community to perceive that the market was evolving much faster than it actually was due to highly pervasive media hype, rogue evangelism, a continued stream of account win announcements and an overselling campaign of the technology’s value proposition and business models. My mantra during those years was simply, “Don’t Believe the Hype.” The reality of the situation was that the RFID industry was still embryonic and not quite ready to live up to the image the media created.

We are in another round of hype and evangelism, but this time, it appears to be real. I’m specifically talking about the retail market for RFID. I’m a conservative analyst that invokes a logical, primary research dependent process to develop highly reliable estimates and forecasts. The only time I deviate from my conservative approach is when there is significant evidence that supports it…now is one of those times.”

VDC Survey: RFID decisions being made at the ops level; respondents will triple RFID spend in 2010

June 29th, 2010

There are some interesting changes occurring when it comes to buying patterns for RFID technology. Long considered an IT decision for many enterprises, more and more buying decisions are being made by operations executives.

In his annual survey on RFID operations, Drew Nathanson, practice director at VDC Research, notes that 19 percent of corporate influencers are now at the operations level. That number is up dramatically from 9 percent a year ago. Almost one-third of buying decisions are still made within IT, while 11.3 percent of decisions are made at the C-level, a number which is also dropping.

But clearly, the RFID spend is diverting from the IT department.

“That shifting to operations is huge,” says Nathanson. “This used to be about IT and how are we going to support this new data collection tool and what do with all this information? Now, the strategy has shifted to firm’s knowing they can support RFID in their infrastructure, so what are they going to do with it and who is going to run it and make sure they get the right solutions that provide the best overall return. And that falls to the ops people.”

Nathanson says that most CEOs and high-level execs are basing decisions on the recommendation of their manufacturing ops people, as long as IT can support the technology. In addition, 17.9 percent of corporate influencers are in the logistics/distribution/shipping and receiving area. In addition, most decisions re mad eat corporate headquarter locations.

In May, Nathanson revealed that the mostly tier one firms in the survey spent an average of $1 million apiece on RFID technology in 2009. This year, that number is expected to grow to an average spend of $3.5 million per company, as firms expand the technology out to their entire value chain.

“That’s a tremendous uptick,” says Drew Nathanson. What’s more impressive is that the same group of companies expect to spend almost $7 million apiece on RFID in 2011.

CORPORATE INFLUENCERS
Executive (CEO, President, Owner, SVP, EVP …) 11.3%
Manufacturing/Operations 19.0%
IT 32.7%
Logistics/Distribution/Shipping & Receiving 17.9%
Quality Control/Quality Assurance 2.4%
Security 7.1%
Compliance 3.0%
Product/Project Directors/Managers 6.5%
Other (Specify) _____________) 0.0%

Xerafy video demonstrates in-metal tag

June 28th, 2010

Pretty cool stuff. Xerafy recently created a new set of RFID embedded tag samples in partnership with , which will help people see how Xerafy’s unique RFID tag technology can actually be embedded into metal and still read. Check out the video here.

New Zealand supply chain, smart meters will gain from increased spectrum

June 24th, 2010

Emerging smart meter deployments and supply chain applications that rely on RFID will both benefit from a move to make more radio spectrum available for new and emerging commercial technologies in New Zealand. The report in the New Zealand National Business Review states that (RFID) systems such as those used in supply chain management and radio mesh networks used for smart metering will both benefit from the changes. The full report can be read at this link.

International RFID Congress on tap for Sept. 14-15 in Toulouse

June 23rd, 2010

Toulouse in September? Fall is a beautiful time to visit France. Throw in the International RFID Congress being held Sept. 14-15 and what’s not to like? The Congress is billing this event as the first event focused on RFID applications in the aeronautical, shipping, railway and automotive industries.

The event will include keynote speeches by decision makers and world leaders in the aeronautical, automotive, railway and shipping industries; business meetings and demos from providers of innovative RFID solutions; and a unique opportunity to meet and mingle with international experts and ISO officials, and to find out the latest news on ongoing work. The event will also feature a tour of the Airbus Industrial Showroom & Innovation Centre, which will demonstrate the use of Auto-ID technologies in the aeronautical industry.

The following specific topics will be discussed for each vertical:

Aeronautics

  • In-service parts monitoring and maintenance with reliable, hard-wearing tags specially designed for harsh environments
  • Development of human and material solutions that can be adapted for either in-house or outsourced maintenance operations

Automotive

  • Vehicle fleet management
  • Optimisation of assembly line flows
  • Prevention of parts counterfeiting
  • Assembly line automation

Railways

  • Automatic wagon scanning for stock-taking purposes
  • Ensuring safe management of train journeys through sensing controls
  • Maintenance of sensitive part

Shipping

  • Securing containers
  • Assistance for transferring responsibilities in maintenance operations